2012年12月16日星期日

The probability of priceless equipment in Diablo 3


 Last time, we discuss about what kind of equipment is priceless, this time d3 gold

  will discuss the probability of priceless equipment with you.

  Now let’s begin our calculation of the probability of priceless equipment. Due to

  the limited space,

  The calculation process will be left out, we only put the results. Let’s take the

  Rune sword as an example, for it’s the most general.

  1. When you get a rare Rune sword in level 63, the probability it identified as cut-

  price is 0.02590% * 10% + 0.00752 * 30% + 0.00127 * 60% = 0.00561%, which is about a

  little more than 1/20000.

  2. When you get a rare Rune sword in level 63, the probability it identified as

  priceless is 0.00064% * 10% + 0.00007 * 30% + 0.00000 * 60% = 0.00009%, which is

  about a little less than one millionth.

  3. When you get 337 rare Rune http://www.d3goldsell.net/5045_111_the-probability-of-priceless-equipment-in-diablo-3_news.html sword in level 63, the probability they all identified

  as priceless is (1-0.00561%) * 337 = 98.13%, in other words, you are very possible

  to get a rubbish.

  4. Good news here is this probability only suit the Rune sword. However, bad news it

  the probability of the other items is smaller and smaller.

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